After Bernie didn't do as amazingly in the last round of primaries, news outlets were quick to say that Bernie no longer has a chance - but this is not actually the case (and let's keep in mind the significant amount of voter disenfranchisement and corruption that has occurred repeatedly throughout the democratic primary). American politics are a little complicated (and unfair), so I'm here to show you the reality of the situation:
Mini-primary lesson:
The primary is all about winning delegates, and there are two kinds: pledged and super delegates.
-Pledged delegates are divided up by state and are kind of regular people who are pledged to vote for a specific candidate based on how they did in their state's primary; so if Bernie won 80% of the vote and Hillary won 20% of the vote in a particular state, they receive a proportional amount of delegates at the Democratic Convention.
-Super delegates account for 15% of the available delegates, and they are elected officials and party leaders. They are able to choose whichever candidate they want - but they are not pledged officially until the Democratic Convention. *This is an example of an unfair practice because it exists to prevent start up candidates, like Bernie, from winning the nomination if the party leaders do not want someone as their candidate (which is ridiculously undemocratic, since it should ultimately be up to the people - not the establishment).
There are a total of 4,766 Democratic delegates – 4,047 pledged and 719 super delegates. A candidate needs to win 2,383 to be guaranteed the nomination - otherwise the super delegates basically determine the winner at the Democratic Convention.
So now that you know about this delegate business, let's get to Bernie Sanders.
Why should you still vote for Bernie, despite the fact that nay sayers are claiming he has no chance of winning?
1. Hillary currently has 1,645 pledged delegates, while Bernie has 1,318 pledged delegates--and 1,243 pledged delegated remain. So it is virtually impossible for Hillary to cinch the necessary 738 delegates she would need to get the guaranteed nomination, meaning the candidate will be determined at the Democratic Convention by super delegates.
2. It is true that Hillary has way more super delegates who currently say they will back her - but this is because she is an establishment politician, not because it is what the constituents want (which is why super delegates are very undemocratic); many of these super delegates have openly backed her since before Bernie even got in the race. However, super delegates are unpledged until July 25th, 2016, so a lot can change in 3 months. In the graph below, you see how from April 15 2015 to July 15 2015, Hillary's support decreased by 10% while Bernie's rose by 20% -3 months can make a huge difference!
3. Super delegates should support the candidate their constituents support; Bernie has won 45% of the delegates in the primary thus far, but only has 7% of the super delegates currently supporting him. Voters need to realize that this is an outrage and care about it - super delegates need your vote to maintain their own positions, so show them you do not support corrupt politics by writing to them, acknowledging their betrayal of their constituents to your friends and online - show that you give a damn if they are corrupt.
-Sanders won Washington by almost 73%, but Hillary got 10 super delegates and Bernie got zero.
-Sanders won New Hampshire with 60% of the vote - Hillary got 6 super delegates and Bernie got zero.
4. Even if your super delegate doesn't give a flying fuck about you, they are supposed to act in the "best interest" of the party, based upon which candidate is most likely to win for their party in the general election (which this year, will be against Donald Trump most likely). But pretty much every poll shows Bernie being more likely to beat Trump than Hillary:
Morning Consult survey: Bernie beat Trump by 16. She beats him by seven.
Investor Business Daily poll: Bernie beat Trump by 12. She beats him by seven.
USA Today poll: Bernie beat Trump by 15. She beats him by 11.
George Washington University poll: Bernie beat him by 10. She beats him by three.
Fox News: Bernie beat Trump by 14. She beats him by seven.
So if you have been influenced by the crap the media flings at you, don't jump Bernie's ship just yet - maintain your loyalty to him in the primary at the very least and show super delegates who we want as our candidate. And do not stand by idly as our democracy slips away from us - make a scene when you see corruption happening at the primaries and with the super delegates. The only way to win is to stop being complacent and stand up.