We Need A Blue Wave In 2018

We Need A Blue Wave In 2018

What will it take to win?


With now less than 100 days before the midterm election, it may be worth looking into whether or not the Democratic Party has a chance at flipping Congress.

First, a quick look at the Senate. RealClearPolitics begins with saying that 36 Democratic seats and 46 Republican seats are either not up for reelection, or are too safe to bother looking into. When you add the seats they name as "likely" Democrats come out of the midterms with 42 seats, and Republicans with 47, leaving 3 Democrats seats which "lean" Democratic, and Senator Ted Cruz's seat, which leans Republican, but there is reason to suspect a chance of the Texas seat turning blue. After that, there are the remaining 7 seats which RCP labels as "toss-ups." Of the seats, 4 are currently Democratic, and 3 are Republican. Currently, the split in the Senate is 51 Republicans, to 49 Democrats, so Republicans are hoping to widen their majority, whereas Democrats are hoping to at least gain a majority, which would mean flipping at least 2 seats. Most vulnerable are the 3 Republican "toss-up" seats of Arizona, Nevada, and Tennessee. Perhaps of the three, the most vulnerable looking is Tennessee, but overall the Senate looks to be fair game for either party, and the fact that Democrats have so many seats up this year does not bode well for them.

The House is a different matter. Democrats need 23 seats to gain control, and as was pointed out in this CNN article, the Ohio race was a close call, and "there are 68 Republican-held House districts that are more favorable for Democrats" - as in there are 68 Republican-held seats which Democrats are more likely to win then they were to win the Ohio seat, and the Ohio seat was held on by Republicans by the skin of their teeth. If you want more numbers to look at, FiveThirtyEight shows that Democrats odds of winning the house are 47.4% to Republicans 41.2%.

That being said though, it is surprising to see how the far left is doing. One might expect that with all of the support for Democrats, the whole country would be looking more left in general, but this is only true to a point. Although in the past I have made the argument that the Democratic Party should move more left, this issue gets more complicated depending on where you are geographically. The win by Ocasio-Cortez was a surprise, but her win doesn't seem to be the beginning of a new Democratic-Socialist wave washing over the US. This phenomenon was perhaps summed up best by Bill Shcher in this Politico article when he said "The Democratic Party is more liberal than it was 15 years ago, and there's no question that shift is partly due to an increasingly vocal, confident, confrontational democratic socialist faction. But it is still only a faction. Most Democratic nominees in competitive House races—not to mention incumbent Senate Democrats fighting for their political lives in red states—are not embracing single-payer or calling for the abolishment of ICE. They are mostly calling for improvements of the Affordable Care Act and a pathway to citizenship for the undocumented."

For Democratic supporters, it looks like there is a lot to be optimistic about (although there are some pessimists with some valid concerns). In the end, a midterm year, which are traditionally beneficial to the minority party, and a hugely unpopular president could spell a victory for the Democrats like we haven't seen, at least in the house. The real question is can the Democrats keep this momentum going throughout the following 2 years, or will it fizzle out? And if we do see a Democratic majority, in either, or both houses, especially with President Trump, what will the Democrats hope to do?

The one obvious answer would be to continue and embolden the investigation in Trump's dealings with Russia. And at the end of all of this, even if their momentum does wane, that is why a Blue Wave would be important, to see that Trump is held in check, and held accountable.

Popular Right Now

An Open Letter to the Person Who Still Uses the "R Word"

Your negative associations are slowly poisoning the true meaning of an incredibly beautiful, exclusive word.

What do you mean you didn't “mean it like that?" You said it.

People don't say things just for the hell of it. It has one definition. Merriam-Webster defines it as, "To be less advanced in mental, physical or social development than is usual for one's age."

So, when you were “retarded drunk" this past weekend, as you claim, were you diagnosed with a physical or mental disability?

When you called your friend “retarded," did you realize that you were actually falsely labeling them as handicapped?

Don't correct yourself with words like “stupid," “dumb," or “ignorant." when I call you out. Sharpen your vocabulary a little more and broaden your horizons, because I promise you that if people with disabilities could banish that word forever, they would.

Especially when people associate it with drunks, bad decisions, idiotic statements, their enemies and other meaningless issues. Oh trust me, they are way more than that.

I'm not quite sure if you have had your eyes opened as to what a disabled person is capable of, but let me go ahead and lay it out there for you. My best friend has Down Syndrome, and when I tell people that their initial reaction is, “Oh that is so nice of you! You are so selfless to hang out with her."

Well, thanks for the compliment, but she is a person. A living, breathing, normal girl who has feelings, friends, thousands of abilities, knowledge, and compassion out the wazoo.

She listens better than anyone I know, she gets more excited to see me than anyone I know, and she works harder at her hobbies, school, work, and sports than anyone I know. She attends a private school, is a member of the swim team, has won multiple events in the Special Olympics, is in the school choir, and could quite possibly be the most popular girl at her school!

So yes, I would love to take your compliment, but please realize that most people who are labeled as “disabled" are actually more “able" than normal people. I hang out with her because she is one of the people who has so effortlessly taught me simplicity, gratitude, strength, faith, passion, love, genuine happiness and so much more.

Speaking for the people who cannot defend themselves: choose a new word.

The trend has gone out of style, just like smoking cigarettes or not wearing your seat belt. It is poisonous, it is ignorant, and it is low class.

As I explained above, most people with disabilities are actually more capable than a normal human because of their advantageous ways of making peoples' days and unknowingly changing lives. Hang out with a handicapped person, even if it is just for a day. I can one hundred percent guarantee you will bite your tongue next time you go to use the term out of context.

Hopefully you at least think of my friend, who in my book is a hero, a champion and an overcomer. Don't use the “R Word". You are way too good for that. Stand up and correct someone today.

Cover Image Credit: Kaitlin Murray

Related Content

Connect with a generation
of new voices.

We are students, thinkers, influencers, and communities sharing our ideas with the world. Join our platform to create and discover content that actually matters to you.

Learn more Start Creating

News Flash: 'Building The Wall' Is Still A Dumb Idea And Always Will Be

The government is still partially shutdown because of funding for the wall. Really?


A man who is a strong supporter of building the wall told me this metaphor: If you don't want the wrong people walking into your backyard, you put a fence up. We don't want the wrong people coming to America, so we put a wall up. I respect people's political beliefs, and because of this, I want to share mine.

I believe that President Trump demanding money to build a border wall is dumb.

It's hard to believe so many people really think that this "build a wall" has everything to do about border security. It's just inhumane and wrong.

Literally, the most notorious drug lord of Mexico has shed light about how he smuggles the drug into the U.S. They have brought it through fishing boats, trucks going through the legal point of entry, underground tunnel, but not through unwalled parts. The half of million pounds of narcotics that were secured at the border? They were all al legal points of entry.

I'm saying this because I am a proud daughter of immigrants who crossed the border. The media has portrayed immigrants as these horrible people infiltrating our country. They just want somewhere safe to live to raise their kid.

The conditions of Latin American countries are inexplicable. Communist have risen from the ashes dominating these countries letting people rot on the street starving. There are little to no job opportunities. I haven't seen my family in three years because it is dangerous to go.

The media doesn't tell you this. They don't tell you how many people have gone to the border and returned to Mexico because ICE agents tear gas them.

They tell you that they throw babies over fences to distract border patrol agents. They tell you children are dying because of malnutrition of trekking thousands of miles to get the border. They don't tell you that those same children have been eating unmonitored food with thousands of microorganism some mal some good.

Not all immigrants are not bad people. The notions that all immigrants are criminals is "fake news." It has been a hook, line, and sinker for the Republican Party. There are studies such as one from the journal Criminology showing that places with high undocumented immigrant population does not equal high crime.

Should undocumented citizens attempt to become legal residents of the United States? Absolutely, and that is a problem if they are evading taxes and other legal notions with more consequences.

However, we should not lie to ourselves and act as a wall is to help border security against drugs and crime. It's just a physical quota like 1920s immigration laws. There is a better solution then sacrificing 5.7 billion dollars. Let me translate that: 5,700,000,000 dollars. That is our taxes. As a college student, I rather have those 5.7 billion dollars be translated to scholarship, grants, financial aid, and helping us, the future of this country become the best people we can be. Why build a wall when the future of America, who I personally think is more important can be helped.

I don't come from a rich family, and I don't have the means to afford a college education without loans, so when I hear that the Government can afford to give 5.7 billion dollars for a wall, I have the right to be upset. Tell me I'm wrong, and call me dumb, but this is my unpopular opinion.


Related Content

Facebook Comments