What Moves A Stock: Part VI
Start writing a post
Student Life

What Moves A Stock: Part VI

Macro Influences

7
What Moves A Stock: Part VI
Dreamstime.com

Macro conditions in world economies play a direct role in the direction U.S. stocks are heading. With our domestic economy becoming increasingly interconnected into a much more global economy, events that happen in foreign nations usually have a direct linkage to American firms. Two prime examples of direct linkage and American firms’ exposure to foreign nations are the continent of Europe and China.

European leaders believed unifying Europe under one currency would be optimum for creating a strong economy and promoting economic growth among the member nations. During this period, the American economy was suffering from a slowing and perhaps persistent sluggish economy, which meant Europeans needed to bolster their own economies in an effort to avoid becoming dependent solely on the U.S. economy. Two specific American industries that benefitted from the euro were the banks and industrials.

For banks involved in international investing like J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs, significant exposure to Europe was incurred. Increased exposure meant these banks took the brunt of crises that emerge in the financial system. Banks involved with Europe were exposed to European borrowers, European banks, and even bonds of European nations. Whenever a nation was on the brink of default, banks with exposure to this market took hits to their stock prices. Even banks who were completely domestic to the U.S. and had absolutely zero international exposure to Europe would see their price fall due to the role ETFs and sector gravity play on stock prices.

China also plays a critical role of how well the stock market is performing due to how interconnected the U.S. and China economies are. China continues to move away from rural economies to urban economies, which boosts well for American companies. Even if China starts to slowdown, the growth opportunity available for American companies is still vastly more than what they can receive in other already established markets throughout the world.

Industrial plays are the obvious biggest benefactor of a growing Chinese economy and middle class. As China cities continue to grow, industrial companies like Caterpillar and Deere, Co. should receive more attention in the market. In addition, slowdowns in the Chinese economy will also serve as a detriment to industrial stocks due to their dependence on Chinese economic growth. Oil companies like Chevron and Exxon and copper companies are also becoming increasingly dependent on China. Technology companies who thrive under economic growth, like General Electric, can now be regarded as terrific growth companies in China rather than America.

The Chinese middle class is growing at the fastest pace in their nations history. Thus, companies that are consumption oriented, Yum! Brands, McDonald’s, Nike, and Starbucks should their future earnings and valuations soar higher on the hopes of the Chinese middle class increasing their consumption. Investors should still be wary of political concerns in China since the nation is still communist run and can dictate at any moment what Chinese consumers can purchase.

Chinese ability to export commodities and other products onto the global markets can adversely affect American companies. The Chinese have essentially decimated U.S. steel production because of their steel pumping into the market, causing steel prices to fall. Although Chinese steel is considered not the best of quality in comparison to American steel, the fact China can manipulate market prices through sheer supply and demand can leave investors wary of American companies’ future stock prices.

Both China and Europe are just two macro plays that are influencing stock prices both positively and negatively. Other macro factors like emerging markets and the Middle East should continue to be monitored and assessed when creating a portfolio. Since the world’s economy is more interconnected than any other point in history, monitoring both domestic and international news is of importance for investors.

Report this Content
This article has not been reviewed by Odyssey HQ and solely reflects the ideas and opinions of the creator.
beer on the beach

Summer is hot and humid, and it's almost like summer was made specifically to drink the refreshing, cold, crisp wonderful, delicious, nutritious nectar of the gods. Which is none other than beer; wonderful cold beer. With summer playing peek-a-boo around the corner while we finish up this semester, it's time to discuss the only important part of summer. And if you haven't already guessed, it's beer. There are few things I take more seriously than my beer, in order are: sports... and beer. Here are my favorite summer brews:

Keep Reading...Show less
Featured

7 Reasons SoCal Rocks!

75 degrees and sunny, plus, no humidity. I mean do I really need to say more?

1330
woman in black and white long sleeve shirt carrying girl in red jacket in Venice beach
Photo by Jeff Hopper on Unsplash

SoCal summers are the best summers by far, and honestly, no argument is needed. But, if you aren't sure why SoCal summers are the best, here are 7 reasons why!

Keep Reading...Show less
Entertainment

25 Lyrics for Selfie Captions

Because let's be honest, we all use lyrics.

53702
woman takes a selfie for social media
Pixabay

Sometimes you can't think of the perfect caption for your Instagram post. I love using lyrics as my captions because there's so many great lines in songs that just seem to fit in the moment. Here are some lyrics that could work for your selfie or pictures of you with your friends!

Keep Reading...Show less
Entertainment

Bruce Springsteen's Top 7 Lyrics

Everything Bruce says in his classic rock songs.

20167
bruce springsteen album cover born in the usa

Anyone who was born and raised in New Jersey (or anywhere really) knows of Bruce Springsteen, whether or not they like him is a whole other situation. I hope that his hundreds of classic rock songs and famous high energy performances, even in his sixties he can put on better concerts than people half his age, are at least recognizable to people of all ages. Love him or hate him (I identify with the former) you have to admit that some of his songs and interviews have inspirational quotes and lyrics.

Keep Reading...Show less
Lifestyle

New England Summers Are The BEST Summers

Why you should spend your next summer in New England.

4664
Marconi Beach

Three years ago, I chose to attend college in Philadelphia, approximately 360 miles away from my small town in New Hampshire. I have learned many valuable lessons away from home, and have thoroughly enjoyed my time spent in Pennsylvania. One thing that my experience has taught me, however, is that it is absolutely impossible to beat a New England summer.

You cannot beat the beach. Believe it or not (which many people may not), New England has a long and beautiful coastline. Most of my high school summers were spent sitting on the Wall at Hampton Beach, getting sunburnt and eating Acai bowls from The Secret Spot. The Wall was the place to be both during the day and at night. We begin our days there with a KB's bagel and coffee, and end them with pizza and ice cream. It’s not a New England summer without that 4 p.m. text from someone, “Who wants to meet at the Wall tonight?” Nighttime is for Tripoli’s Pizza, the sound of waves, and wishes on shooting stars. Wednesday nights are especially important, as those are the nights that Hampton Beach sets off the weekly firework display.

Keep Reading...Show less

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Facebook Comments