Nearly one in three patients who are infected is showing a false negative. This is concerning because a patient will continue to go to their job since only those who have essential jobs are allowed to go to work. If the patient who has a false negative coronavirus test result does not have a job but lives with their family, then the patient could unknowingly pass it onto their family member. The coronavirus tests are going through a rapid validation process without testing in a clinical setting because of the unfortunate circumstances of an ongoing pandemic. In the field of epidemiology, most lab tests have a margin of error, this is nothing new. The more expensive the lab test the more accurate it has clinically been proven to be. The healthcare field fails to elaborate on the margin of error, which in many cases such as to this day, can serve as a serious health hazard. There needs to be more discussion on false-negative test results. Particularly on the fact that maybe getting tested twice could help a patient omit a false-negative test result, but only to a certain extent.
If nearly one in three patients who are infected show a false-negative then this serves to show in terms of operation management that the coronavirus test is only 66.67% reliable. If a patient were to take the coronavirus test two independent times then the results are 88.89% reliable. When a patient takes the coronavirus test two independent times there is still an 11.11% chance for a false-negative result. This means that the patient would have to take the coronavirus test six times to ensure there is no false-negative result because when the patient takes the test three times it is only 96.3% accurate. When the patient takes the coronavirus test four times then the results are 98.77% reliable. Finally, when the patient takes the test five times the results are 99.6% accurate. Six times derives a 99.9% reliability, maybe the patient should take it seven times instead to eliminate the 0.1% of marginal error.
Pregnancy tests experience false-negative tests all the time, which is where their value is understood in terms of financial means. In other words, when a pregnancy test is marketed to be of an obscenely higher value than usual then this is because it has a very low margin of error. The price reflects the reliability of the product, in most cases. Some experiences even show that pregnancy tests show a false-positive. This correlation drives the speculation on whether or not patients are receiving a false-positive from the coronavirus tests. People are basing their next step in life off of a test with 33.33% unreliability. There could be an easier way throughout this global pandemic, which could be to assume we all are carriers and to practice tremendous self-care. Essentially we are all carriers as we are a living vector, but that does not mean we are all infected.